I was pleased to see Gen. Stanley McChrystal speak at the Pentagon
today about his new book, “Team of Teams.” His basic argument is that the
military, like many human organizations, is built on a rigid hierarchy which
prevents adaptability. While technologies, and to a lesser degree human behavior,
change quickly, our institutional structures often do not keep pace. Al
Qaeda, by contrast, utilizes commercial information systems to maintain a
decentralized network which allowed what was previously “impossible,” timely
action, coordination and resiliency all-together.
Going into the war, McChrystal and most others saw terrorist cells
as a compartmentalized hierarchy which could be “decapitated.” His epiphany
came when he sought authorization to kill Al Qaeda’s “2+7” leadership (Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, his deputy and seven
commanders). McChrystal said “I then thought about what would happen if we
killed the top nine guys in the Pentagon… things would get better!”
Naturally the room of Pentagon employees erupted laughing.
Recreation of Gen. McChrystal's Progress Chart |
It appeared to me, however, that Gen. McChrystal tip-toed around the
themes F.A. Hayek's essay "Uses of Knowledge in Society." In complex environments, different individuals have heterogeneous pieces
of information. The challenge is creating a system where localized knowledge
can be shared and synchronized. Hayek and Mises demonstrated how central
planning is a poor paradigm for rapid adaptation to changes which occur in particular
circumstances of time and place.
Hayek defined “catallaxy,” from the Greek verb “to exchange,” as “the
order brought about by the mutual adjustment of many individual economies in a
market.” We like markets because the price system transmits important
information to all actors which empowers them to make efficient decisions.
McChrystal has not yet figured out the military’s analogue to the
price system. When asked how to bring about his adaptive and decentralized organization,
his flimsy answer was Video Teleconferencing (VTC). The VTCs he ran at the Joint Special Operations Command (JSOC) included 7,500 participants for 90 minutes
each day.
Clearly this is not the solution. The problem in need of addressing
is how to streamline information.
Prices provide only relevant information to the decision-maker. One
doesn’t need up-to-date information on complex supply chain factors or consumer
sentiment in order to make decisions on resource intensities. All of that opportunity
cost is conveyed through the market price.
VTCs, however, do not streamline information. Everyone gets firehosed with the
whole set of information. The fact that McChrystal found coordination through
mass VTCs to be far superior to hierarchical dissemination means that there are
huge efficiency gains out there for someone who can provide bureaucratic
organizations (government as well as large firms) with a “price-like” mechanism.
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